Climate Change ScENario SErviceS: Mapping the future
The SENSES project investigates potential socio-economic futures in the face of climate change and how this knowledge can be made accessible to a broader public. SENSES develops tools and approaches to make the new generation of climate change scenarios more comprehensible, culminating in a climate service for decision makers. Central needs are identified in a co-creation process between scientists and users. The results will be combined to a tailor-made, user determined Climate Scenario Toolkit including scenario visualization tools and co-creation techniques for three stakeholder groups:
1. National and international climate policy makers
2. Regional climate scenario users
3. Businesses, particularly financial businesses.
One major finding in the project is that our stakeholders need staged access to climate change scenarios.Different levels of complexity of the scenario knowledge need to be provided, e.g. capacity building elements to include new user groups.
Our co-production workshops showed that the combination of mitigation and impact scenarios hits an urgent need of stakeholdersto link emission and mitigation pathways to the potential implications of climate change.
A great highlight is how relevant our scenarios are for the finance community.The TCFD (Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures) initiative gave scenario driven risk assessment an enormous push. Our third workshop received so much interest that we had to broadcast parts of the workshop via Youtube.
My name is Cornelia Auer (PhD) and I am coordinator of the SENSES project. I am working with climate change scenarios because they allow to explore possible solution pathways in an unpredictable future. Sustainable development is central for nature and humankind. The two can only work if they go hand in hand. In this vein economic growth is a very interesting topic. Digitalization and limited resources will require to re-think growth. How can wealth be distributed, preserving prosperity in developed countries but facilitating decent-living standards in all developing countries?
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) is the overall coordinater, brings in extensive climate change scenario expertise (climate change, impact, mitigation) and works on user interaction and co-production. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) has extensive mitigation scenario expertise and works on the mitigation scenario infrastructure infrastructure and data management. Fachhochschule Potsdam (FHP) is responsible for (co-)design and implementation of the visualization toolkit and portals. Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) has extensive expertise in the co-production of climate change scenario knowledge. Their work has a focus on transnationial impacts in Kenya through climate change. Wageningen University & Research (WUR) has extensive expertise on co-production of regional climate change scenarios and knowledge. Their work focusses on de Vecht in the Netherlands
All results and outreach can be found on the project website: http://senses-project.org/results/.
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European Research Area for Climate Services
ERA-NET Cofund for Climate Services - This ERA-NET Consortium has been designed to boost the development of efficient Climate Services in Europe, by supporting research for developing better tools, methods and standards on how to produce, transfer, communicate and use reliable climate information to cope with current and future climate variability.
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