About
What is the MEDSCOPE project about?
MEDSCOPE aims at improving climate information and data obtained from seasonal forecasts in the Mediterranean area This information and data will feed into climate services in different socio–economic sectors relevant to the region. This is achieved by improving the understanding of the processes driving climate variability and its predictability in the target area. Then, based on the improved knowledge, MEDSCOPE develops methodology and tools (e.g., bias correction, downscaling, statistical models) to improve predictions, making them available to a community of users operating in the Mediterranean area.
Rossby wave tracks, illustrating how the variability in the tropical Pacific can reach an influence the Mediterranean region.
Highlights
- MEDSCOPE enhances knowledge of key mechanisms, like teleconnections from tropical oceans or land surface–atmosphere interactions, that might influence climate variability over the Mediterranean region on different time-scales, improving the understanding of possible sources of predictability for the area.
- This advanced understanding has led to the development of a software package (Climate Service Toolbox, CSTools), which contains process-based methods for forecast calibration, bias correction, statistical and stochastic downscaling, optimal forecast combination and multivariate verification
- These tools allow obtaining tailored products and better exploiting dynamical seasonal forecasts to provide information relevant to public and private stakeholders in a number of important social and economic sectors in the Mediterranean region.
Keywords / hashtags
Keywords: Seasonal Forecasts, Climate Services, Mediterranean region, Mediterranean Climate Outlook Forum, MedCOF
Hashtags: #ClimatePredictions, #ClimateServices, #MediterraneanClimate
Potential societal impacts
MEDSCOPE improves tools and methods of extracting climate information from predictions. It contributes to data readiness from seasons to years ahead to climatic conditions in the Mediterranean region. These results will help the development of better decision support tools, enabling a better management of the environmental risks, which, in practice, will imply a reduction of emergency interventions’ costs, a better integration of climate-dependent products or services into markets, and a higher business stability. Overall, this contributes to resilience of society towards the impacts of climate variability and change.
The MEDSCOPE community during its mid-term meeting, May 2019, in Milan
The role of JPI Climate
JPI Climate contributes to the success of MEDSCOPE by fostering a community building approach that has produced a cooperative development and by sharing the project products among partners and other users. This provides a solid foundation for the consolidation of a collaborative community of climate service providers in the Mediterranean region.
Project leader
My name is Silvio Gualdi (PhD, silvio.gualdi@cmcc.it)and I work at CMCC in Bologna, where I lead the Division of Climate Simulations and Predictions. My main research interests relate to climate variability and the capability to predict it, with a special emphasis on the European and Mediterranean region. I am convinced that an enhanced capability to anticipate possible adverse (or favourable) climatic conditions might improve the quality of life of a large number of people.
Project consortium
Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
Meteo-France
The Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium
Barcelona Supercomputing Center
The Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate
The State Meteorological Agency
National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and Environment
Plan Blue
CMCC coordinates the project and, among other tasks, contributes to the investigation of the sources of predictability for the Mediterranean area, performing the project coordinated sensitivity experiments.
BSC is co-coordinator of the project and investigates, among others, teleconnection with low latitudes.
BSC also leads work on calibration, verification and information synthesis, coordinating the building and release of MEDSCOPE toolbox. BSC participates in the work on climate services and leads the task on wind energy.
ISAC–CNR leads the task on teleconnection with mid–latitudes and investigates teleconnections with low–latitudes, contributing to set up and analyses of the coordinated sensitivity experiments ISAC participates in the work on climate services by contributing to the development of hydrological products.
METEO-FRANCE also contributes to the coordinated sensitivity experiment set up, production and analysis. Meteo–France leads the task on bias correction and forecast calibration and contributes to the implementation of advanced multivariable forecast scores. In the work on climate services it it contributes to those on renewable energy, water management, and agriculture and forestry.
AEMET leads the development of empirical forecast systems and contributes to the development of tools for bias correction, calibration, statistical downscaling, and forecast system combination and selection of sub-ensembles for applications. In the work on climate services it contributes on hydrology, to services for renewable energy, agriculture and forestry, and to the activities of communication.
INRA is in charge of WP4 data storage management.
RMI among others works on bias correction and forecast calibration, and on statistical downscaling in it contributes to the task on hydrological products, where post-processing tools are developed and applied to provide information on floods.
Plan-Bleu contributes to the capitalization and communication of the project products.
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