About
The weather impacts our society in many ways. In HiWAVES3 we study high impact weather events, i.e. the events that most severely impact society. For example, we identify these events by calculating river levels, wind and solar energy yields and crop yields using thousands of years of global daily weather generated by state-of-the-art climate models and selecting the most extreme cases. Climate model data are used because generally the observational record is relatively short, which limits the possibility of sampling and studying extreme events. We study the meteorological conditions leading to the extreme societal impacts, the effect of climate change and the predictability of these events. Stories of these events are created for communication purposes.
The design of a robust future energy system based on a large share of variable renewable energy resources will need to account for changing weather conditions. Changing weather conditions lead to low production and high demand in the entire European domain as identified in this project. The ensemble climate impact modelling approach implemented in this project provides more accurate estimates of risks by sampling a larger space of possible weather conditions. This project helps support SDG’s food, water, energy and safety.
Project leader
My name is Karin van der Wiel. I worked as a postdoc on the HiWAVES3 project. I joined the project because I am interested in the impact of changing weather conditions to society at large. I develop methods for investigating extreme events, try to understand internal variability and climate change, and investigate societal risk related to weather to contribute to a society resilient to `bad’ weather conditions.
Project consortium
Centre for international climate research
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
University of Exeter
Beijing Normal University
Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar
Chinese Academy of Sciences
Project partners are climate scientists from University of Exeter (UK), BNU (CN) and KNMI (NL), agricultural scientists from IIT Gandhinagar (IN) and Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), and economic scientists from CICERO (NO).Climate scientists from KNMI and Exeter created large ensemble experiments with two global state-of-the-art climate models. At
KNMI these were used to study extreme events in relation to the energy transition and impacts on extreme hydrological events. At Exeter the impact of Arctic sea ice on midlatitude weather was investigated. Scientists at CAS calculated global wheat yields, which were used to calculate global food prices by CICERO.
Documents
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